Chevron CEO Expresses Optimism on Iraq Talks Amid Robust Q3 Results and Market Updates

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Chevron CEO Wirth shared his optimism during a CNBC interview regarding concluding Iraq negotiations and establishing operations as early as next year. He pointed to elevated global prices for crude and refined products, noting that Brent costs about USD 150 per barrel once shipping is factored in. Wirth also emphasized the company's focus on meeting Europe's energy import needs with LNG. Financially, Chevron reported Q3 2026 adjusted EPS of USD 5.28 on revenue of USD 65 billion, surpassing analyst expectations. Meanwhile, ExxonMobil posted strong Q3 results alongside a USD 20 billion buyback plan for 2027. Broad energy markets continue to navigate geopolitical headlines involving Iran, shifting supply dynamics, and broader macroeconomic indicators as the US midterm elections approach in November 2026.

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In a CNBC interview, Chevron CEO Wirth expressed optimism that negotiations with Iraq will be successfully concluded early next year, while noting the high price trend of global crude oil and refined products. During the same period, ExxonMobil and Chevron reported Q3 earnings that beat expectations, proving robust fundamentals. The market is paying close attention to the positive guidance and strong earnings from these major energy companies.

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Chevron's Q3 adjusted EPS of $5.28 exceeded the expected $4.86, while expectations of entering the Iraqi market and strategies to expand European energy supplies through LNG are positively impacting the stock price. However, a cautious approach is required as negotiations with Iraq have historically tended to be delayed due to contract terms and cost recovery issues.

The bullish scenario going forward is if the contract with Iraq is actually signed and the upward trend in crude oil prices driven by geopolitical risks continues, while the bearish scenario is if fuel demand slowdown signals appear alongside difficulties in the Iraqi negotiations. Investors should closely monitor capital expenditure (capex) plans in upcoming earnings releases and the contract structure with the Iraqi government.

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