Tesla's Communication Flaws Drag Down Stock Relative to Apple, Says Investor Gary Black

Yahoo Finance ·

Future Fund LLC Managing Partner Gary Black argued that Tesla Inc. suffers from a critical communications flaw that hurts its credibility, causing the stock to lag far behind Apple. Over the past year, Tesla shares dropped 17%, whereas Apple gained 33%. Across a five-year span, Tesla advanced just 9% compared to Apple's 133% surge. Black criticized Tesla's recent claim that over 75% of third-quarter North American deliveries included paid full self-driving subscriptions, labeling the figure as inflated. He demanded transparency on retention rates 3 to 6 months post-trial. Despite these concerns, CEO Elon Musk remains optimistic about securing regulatory approval for full self-driving in Europe and China soon, with global paid users surpassing 1.7 million.

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Tesla (TSLA) stated that over 75% of North American deliveries in Q3 subscribed to FSD, but Gary Black pointed out this figure was exaggerated and that the actual 3-6 month retention rate needs to be disclosed. He analyzed that Tesla's generation of excessive expectations and lack of communication are the causes of its underperformance compared to Apple (down 17% over the past year). Investors should pay attention to Tesla's opaque communication and lack of effective PR strategies.

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The controversy over the reliability of Tesla's FSD subscription data dampens investor sentiment in the short term, acting as downward pressure on the stock price. In particular, the contrasting trend where Apple rose 33% over the past year while Tesla fell 17% demonstrates how differences in communication methods impact corporate valuation.

Future approval of FSD in the EU and China, as well as the disclosure of actual long-term retention rates, will be key indicators for a stock rebound. If it moves away from exaggerated promotions and restores trust through transparent data disclosure, a bullish reversal is possible; otherwise, valuation burdens are expected to persist.

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