Amazon CEO Andy Jassy Predicts AWS Will Reach $1T in Revenue Amid Heavy CapEx

Yahoo Finance ·

Amazon CEO Andy Jassy expressed strong confidence during Thursday's earnings call that AWS is on track to become a trillion-dollar revenue business within the next five to ten years. To achieve this milestone, Amazon plans to aggressively ramp up its infrastructure spending, projecting a cash capex of roughly $220 billion for 2026, with the majority allocated to AWS, followed by even larger outlays in 2027. AWS currently boasts an annualized revenue run-rate of $184 billion, marking its sixth consecutive quarter of steady growth with a 39 percent year-over-year increase. Jassy defended the heavy capital expenditure as a necessary and justified move to capture a historic surge in AI-driven cloud demand. Despite management's optimistic forecasts of 40 percent growth for 2027 and 2028, investor anxieties regarding the massive spending caused Amazon shares to drop about 6 percent in after-hours trading on Thursday.

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Amazon CEO Andy Jassy projected that AWS will grow into a 1 trillion dollar annual revenue business, announcing a cash CapEx of 220 billion dollars in 2026 and an even larger expansion in 2027. AWS revenue increased by 39% year-over-year, with high growth of over 40% expected in 2027 and 2028. However, Amazon shares fell about 6% in after-hours trading due to short-term profitability concerns from massive capital expenditures.

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Amazon's massive AI infrastructure investment causes heavy cash outflows in the short term, fueling investors' cost concerns and acting as downward pressure on the stock price. However, this is a preemptive investment to respond to the explosive demand for AI cloud, which will serve as a driving force to strengthen AWS's market dominance and accelerate revenue growth in the long run.

Future stock prices will be determined by whether the actual revenue growth in the AI cloud sector generates enough profit to justify the large capital expenditures, with key metrics to watch being AWS's quarterly revenue growth rate (whether the 40% target is achieved) and free cash flow (FCF) trends.

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