SpaceX Shares Drop 9 Percent: Time to Buy the Dip?

Yahoo Finance ·

SpaceX stock has declined 9 percent over the past month, returning to its June IPO price of 135 dollars. Despite a 161 percent surge in third-quarter revenue to 14.6 billion dollars, the market is pricing the company alongside artificial intelligence equities due to heavy capital expenditures. The Super Intelligence division generated 7.6 billion dollars in revenue while consuming 16.4 billion dollars in capex. Bloomberg reported that Anthropic accounts for 34.5 percent of quarterly revenue. Backed by robust Starlink profits and an investment-grade rating, SpaceX secures cheaper financing compared to pure artificial intelligence peers. Analysts have subsequently raised their consensus price targets, suggesting investors consider scaling into the equity.

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Despite a 161% surge in third-quarter revenue, SpaceX's stock fell 9% in a month to around $135. The market is pricing in heavy capital expenditure (Capex) burdens, evaluating the company alongside AI-related stocks like CoreWeave and Meta. Investors should consider scaling in through phased purchases, supported by Starlink's stable cash generation and low financing costs.

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SpaceX reported $14.6 billion in third-quarter revenue, but poured $16.4 billion out of $19.6 billion into capital expenditures to expand its AI division. Large-scale capital expenditures of $35 billion to $40 billion are expected in the fourth quarter as well, putting short-term pressure on cash flow and directly driving the stock's 1-month 9% decline.

The bullish scenario is the successful completion of AI infrastructure expansion backed by Starlink's solid operating income ($2.4 billion) and low borrowing rates, while the bearish scenario involves contract volatility with major clients such as Anthropic and financial strain from excessive Capex. Key monitoring indicators ahead are the Q4 earnings release and contract retention in 2027.

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