Nvidia GPU Rents Surge as Anthropic Revenue Goes Vertical, Says Gavin Baker
Yahoo Finance ·
Anthropic's S-1 filing reveals that revenue per dollar of compute reached $2.08, up significantly from $0.40 a year prior, according to data endorsed by Atreides Management's Gavin Baker. Baker argues that cheaper tokens drive a surge in overall compute spending, thereby fueling demand and pricing power for NVIDIA's GPUs. H100 rental rates have climbed 45% since December, highlighting this robust hardware demand. Wall Street analysts project NVIDIA's revenue to expand from $215.9 billion in fiscal 2026 to $692 billion in fiscal 2028. Meanwhile, management anticipates that rising memory expenses will compress gross margins to a trough of 71% to 72% in the quarter ending January 2027, before recovering. Currently, NVIDIA shares trade at a forward earnings multiple of 18x, well below the three-year average of 30x, ahead of the upcoming November 17 financial report.
AI 시장 분석
According to Anthropic's S-1 filing analysis, revenue per dollar of compute cost surged from $0.40 to $2.08 in the previous year, proving that falling AI token prices are explosively driving demand. This is causing NVIDIA's GPU rental rates to surge, bolstering forecasts that fiscal year 2028 revenue will grow to $692 billion. Investors are focusing on whether the price elasticity of AI demand is the core driver that will sustain NVIDIA's earnings growth over the long term.
상승 영향
- AI — Anthropic's revenue per compute surged to $2.08 and falling AI token prices increased overall computing spend, directly supporting NVIDIA GPU demand and pricing.
하락 영향
- Semiconductors — Rising memory costs act as a pressure, leading to expectations that NVIDIA's gross margin will decline to the 71-72% range for the quarter ending January 2027.
DYAX 전담 분석
Anthropic's revenue surge and improved return per compute prove the price elasticity effect where falling AI token prices maximize demand, directly leading to strong demand for NVIDIA GPUs and rising rental rates. This is a key factor justifying NVIDIA's long-term revenue growth.
The bull case is that AI demand continues to exceed supply, allowing NVIDIA to achieve steep earnings growth, while the bear case is margin deceleration and a transition to oversupply due to memory cost pressures. Key indicators are the trend in GPU rental rates and the defense of the 71-72% gross margin.
AI가 생성한 분석으로 투자 자문이 아닙니다.
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